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2030: The Second Great Disappointment.

  •  05-01-2007, 8:49 PM

    2030: The Second Great Disappointment.

    The 2nd Great Disappointment
    H.P. LaLancette
    April 24th, 2007

    One of the main errors Transhumanists make with their religion is that they are way
    too specific with the date when the Messiah (a.k.a. the Strong A.I.) will come to initiate
    the Rapture (a.k.a. brain uploading). For instance, Kurzweil believes the Messiah will
    arrive in 2029. FM-2030 thought it would arrive in, yep, 2030. In being so specific with
    the date of the Rapture, they are assuring that their religion will fail when the date
    passes and nothing happens.

    Of course, the main reason the date of ~2030 is chosen is because many
    Transhumanists are baby boomers who are desperately afraid of dying. So they
    conveniently make up a date that coincides with when the average boomer will reach
    the average human life span of ~85 years.

    Successful religions are suitably vague with their prognostications. It is enough to say
    that believers will be saved at some future date but leave the when and where up to
    their imaginations.

    As it so happens, this pattern of religious prediction followed by disappointment
    happened at least one other time in American history when the Millerite
    Dispensationalist movement in upstate New York failed to predict the coming of the
    Messiah on October 22nd, 1844. Interestingly, this Great Disappointment did not lead to
    the end of the Millerite movement but rather transformed the movement into the
    Seventh-day Adventists who are still around today. The Adventists merely
    reinterpreted the prediction as being when the process of Investigative Judgment
    began in heaven. This is still part of the theology of Seventh-day Adventists today.

    So, maybe I spoke too soon about the end of the Religion of Transhumanism in ~2030.
    Following the 2nd Great Disappointment, I suspect that Transhumanists will still believe
    in the inevitability of the techno-Messiah, just that the date was off a bit for a variety
    of reasons. Expect cryonics to see a huge boom around 2030 as thousands of
    Transhumanists freeze themselves. There will likely be many offshoots of the Religion of
    Transhumanism at this time, each one just as bizarre as the original.
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