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George

Olshansky wants you live an astounding 7 years longer!

Direct from the 'lack of vision' department comes S. Jay Olshanksky's latest offering to the great life extension debate. In collaboration with Daniel Perry, Richard A. Miller and Robert N. Butler, Olshansky has published a piece for The Scientist in which he comes out in favour of life extending interventions.

But typical of Olshansky, his limited vision for the potentials of life extension is at the point of laughability. He once told me that it is his expectation to see life expectancy decrease this century rather than increase, citing such things as the spread of diseases.

Olshansky, professor of epidemiology and biostatistics at the University of Illinois, and go-to boy for the press when they need an anti-life extension sound-bite, argues that it is in society's best interest to work at alleviating the effects of aging. To this end he suggests that US congress invest $3 billion annually to life extension with the hopes of prolonging lives by a factor of -- drum roll please -- an astounding 7 years.

Yep, 7 years.

In the words of the article’s authors, "What we have in mind is not the unrealistic pursuit of dramatic increases in life expectancy, let alone the kind of biological immortality best left to science fiction novels. Rather, we envision a goal that is realistically achievable: a modest deceleration in the rate of aging sufficient to delay all aging-related diseases and disorders by about seven years."

This target was chosen, say the authors, because the risk of death and most other negative attributes of aging tends to rise exponentially throughout the adult lifespan with a doubling time of approximately seven years. "Such a delay would yield health and longevity benefits greater than what would be achieved with the elimination of cancer or heart disease," they write, "And we believe it can be achieved for generations now alive."

Thankfully, Olshansky and the other authors are in agreement that life extension is possible. "The belief that aging is an immutable process, programmed by evolution, is now known to be wrong," they write, "In recent decades, our knowledge of how, why, and when aging processes take place has progressed so much that many scientists now believe that this line of research, if sufficiently promoted, could benefit people alive today."

In terms of benefits, they consider the aging baby boomers and hope that life extension will help alleviate the fiscal and social pressures of having a large elderly population. And simply put, health and longevity create wealth.

Olshansky et al are clearly trying to appear as reasonable and mainstream as possible to curry favour with US congress. It's conceivable that they may have more daring personal predictions for life extension, some of which may even come in line with biogerontologist Aubrey de Grey who is working to eliminate aging altogether (but that's just speculation on my part).

Yet, as the authors of this article note, life extension is real and we need to work collectively to help bring it about in the most expedient manner possible.

Cross-posted from Sentient Developments.
Published Thursday, March 09, 2006 4:25 PM by George

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krrkrr wrote on March 9, 2006 5:07 PM

I think it's a great development. Instead when the conservatives in the field agree that it is possible, the question will not be if it's possible, but how many years we stand to gain, and I think most people have learned by now that the truth usually lies somewhere between the two extremes.
 

Simon wrote on March 9, 2006 5:17 PM

Imagine what that $3 billion could do if you donated it to the MPrize (http://www.mprize.org/).
 

krrkrr wrote on March 9, 2006 5:34 PM

I think 3 billion to the MPrize would be far too much, but I agree that some of the money should be given to it. These competitions have shown themselves to be very effective. I'm especially looking forward to the next grand challenge after seeing how much improvment there was between the first two.
 

advancedatheist wrote on March 9, 2006 8:54 PM

If Olshansky wanted to hold the world hostage like a parody of a James Bond villain, would he demand a ransom of $1 million?

Jeez, talk about an underachiever.
 

Fight Aging! (Trackback) wrote on March 10, 2006 1:06 AM

Not everyone is wholly enthused by the declaration of intent on modest healthy life extension and call for a repurposing of mainstream gerontology and aging research put forward by Olshansky, Perry, Miller and Butler. Olshansky wants you to live an astounding
 

jwbats wrote on March 10, 2006 2:44 AM

Olshansky is to longevity what Smalley was to nanotechnology.

When Olshansky and I exchanged a few messages on the imminst forum, he assured me that he *wants* superlongevity to become a reality, but that he just doesn't believe it will happen.

To back up his case, he uses the argument "we don't have X today, and therefore we will never have X", by saying that many have tried to achieve immortality and that they're all dead.

But we all know he's not really that dumb. This guy has psychological issues with the concept of immortality.
 

advancedatheist wrote on March 10, 2006 12:57 PM

'To back up his case, he uses the argument "we don't have X today, and therefore we will never have X", by saying that many have tried to achieve immortality and that they're all dead.'

Yeah, that brilliant biotechnologist Ponce de Leon just didn't have what it takes. What a _stupid_ argument against the quest for negligible senescence. Everything we've learned about biology in the past 50 years or so transforms our understanding of the problem and the tools we can apply to solving it.
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About George

Canada's leading futurist, activist and award winning blogger, George has written and spoken extensively about the impacts of cutting-edge science and technology. He is the Director of Operations for Commune Media, an advertising and marketing firm that specializes in marketing science. George has more than 10 years' experience in media, arts and communications. With relationships forged across several continents, he has managed international accounts for leading brands. In addition to his work with Commune, George is currently serves on the Board of Directors for the Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies. He is the co-founder and president of the Toronto Transhumanist Association and has served on the Board of Directors for the World Transhumanist Association. George has been interviewed by such publications as The Guardian, the BBC, Radio Free Europe, and Beliefnet. He made an appearance on the CBC's The Hour and has been profiled in NOW and This Magazine.
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