Direct
from the 'lack of vision' department comes S. Jay Olshanksky's latest
offering to the great life extension debate. In collaboration with
Daniel Perry, Richard A. Miller and Robert N. Butler, Olshansky has
published a
piece for
The Scientist in which he comes out in favour of life extending interventions.
But
typical of Olshansky, his limited vision for the potentials of life
extension is at the point of laughability. He once told me that it is
his expectation to see life expectancy
decrease this century rather than increase, citing such things as the spread of diseases.
Olshansky,
professor of epidemiology and biostatistics at the University of
Illinois, and go-to boy for the press when they need an anti-life
extension sound-bite, argues that it is in society's best interest to
work at alleviating the effects of aging. To this end he suggests that
US congress invest $3 billion annually to life extension with the hopes
of prolonging lives by a factor of -- drum roll please -- an astounding
7 years.
Yep, 7 years.
In the words of the article’s
authors, "What we have in mind is not the unrealistic pursuit of
dramatic increases in life expectancy, let alone the kind of biological
immortality best left to science fiction novels. Rather, we envision a
goal that is realistically achievable: a modest deceleration in the
rate of aging sufficient to delay all aging-related diseases and
disorders by about seven years."
This target was chosen, say the
authors, because the risk of death and most other negative attributes
of aging tends to rise exponentially throughout the adult lifespan with
a doubling time of approximately seven years. "Such a delay would yield
health and longevity benefits greater than what would be achieved with
the elimination of cancer or heart disease," they write, "And we
believe it can be achieved for generations now alive."
Thankfully,
Olshansky and the other authors are in agreement that life extension is
possible. "The belief that aging is an immutable process, programmed by
evolution, is now known to be wrong," they write, "In recent decades,
our knowledge of how, why, and when aging processes take place has
progressed so much that many scientists now believe that this line of
research, if sufficiently promoted, could benefit people alive today."
In
terms of benefits, they consider the aging baby boomers and hope that
life extension will help alleviate the fiscal and social pressures of
having a large elderly population. And simply put, health and longevity
create wealth.
Olshansky et al are clearly trying to appear as
reasonable and mainstream as possible to curry favour with US congress.
It's conceivable that they may have more daring personal predictions
for life extension, some of which may even come in line with
biogerontologist Aubrey de Grey who is working to eliminate aging
altogether (but that's just speculation on my part).
Yet, as
the authors of this article note, life extension is real and we need to
work collectively to help bring it about in the most expedient manner
possible.
Cross-posted from
Sentient Developments.