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(Crossposted from Depressed Metabolism)
Today is the second anniversary of
Depressed Metabolism. As of writing, this website has close to 200 feed subscribers. On an average day the website has 150 unique visitors,
which is an encouraging increase in traffic since our last update. This
is even more remarkable in light of the fact that new blog entries with
social and political themes have been eliminated and given a new
destination on the separate blog Against Politics. The emphasis of Depressed Metabolism remains cryonics advocacy and life extension from a secular, empiricist perspective.
Our most popular piece since our first anniversary was “Is That What Love is? The Hostile Wife Phenomenon in Cryonics,”
a review of the phenomenon of hostility of (female) partners and
relatives towards cryonics, co-authored by Mike Darwin, Chana de Wolf,
and Aschwin de Wolf. This article was not only widely discussed on
cryonics forums, but was made the subject of a blog entry by the economist Bryan Caplan on the widely visited libertarian-leaning EconLog
blog. We have refrained from commenting on discussions about the piece.
An interesting pattern we observed, though, is that most people who
have cryonics arrangements, and a long history of cryonics activism,
praised the article for documenting a disturbing aspect of contemporary
cryonics, while those who are observing cryonics from the outside paid
more attention to some of the “politically incorrect” themes in the
piece. Since we wrote this article, there have been new cases of
hostile relatives interfering with a “loved” one’s cryonics
arrangements, in one instance leading to irreversible death.
Hostility from (female) partners remains a non-trivial problem in
cryonics. As of writing, we are aware of two major improvements in
cryonics that cannot materialize because of intense partner hostility
to the idea of cryonics. In any case, it has become clear that
cryonicists and those sympathetic to the right to choose cryonics have
a lot of work ahead in protecting vulnerable patients from greedy,
ignorant, and insensitive relatives.
Another piece that generated a lot of traffic was “The political philosophy of bailout,”
a brief meditation on the authoritarian and teleological mindset that
was displayed during the debates about bailing out failed companies and
policies to stimulate the economy. An alternative to looking at
society, or “the economy,” as a tool that needs to be manipulated by
experts (technocrats) to optimize the common good is the work of social
philosopher Anthony de Jasay on the presumption of liberty. These pieces were followed in November 2008 by a three-part series on the mysterious phenomenon of voting, the widespread addiction to politics, and the idea of a depoliticized society.
Recognizing the disadvantages of too much social and political content
on a blog that is supposed to be about cryonics and life extension, the
old website Against Politics was re-launched as a blog to cover these topics.
By far, most of the blog entries and articles dealt with the philosophy, science, and practice of human cryopreservation, ranging from the publication of historical cryonics documents to discussions of technical and practical problems facing cryonics today. Some of the most important entries include the use of sugars in organ preservation solutions, life in non-aqueous solutions, cryonics in the United Kingdom, perfusion impairment in cryonics patients, cryonics as an example for emergency medicine, the sensationalist reporting on “suspended animation” research with hydrogen sulfide, and a series of technical entries about the resuscitation of rodents from hypothermic and subzero circulatory arrest by Chana de Wolf. Aschwin de Wolf posted a blog entry about the lack of relevant empirical research in cryonics, which prompted an informed response from Mike Darwin.
Both authors agree that cryonics care could be greatly improved if more
research would be carried out in models that incorporate the warm- and
cold ischemic insults that characterize most, if not all, cryonics
cases. There is a real need for what is called Evidence Based Cryonics,
as opposed to mindlessly extrapolating procedures from conventional
medicine in the expectation that what will work for (relatively)
healthy patients will work for cryonics patients as well. After the landmark interview with Ben Best, Depressed Metabolism published an interview with Regina Pancake, Alcor’s Readiness Coordinator and one of the most dedicated cryonics activists around.
There are lot of misunderstandings
about cryonics but some of them are even shared by those sympathetic
to, or signed up for, cryonics. Five dangerous ideas about cryonics
were discussed in a piece in January 2009. The ongoing logistical and
recruitment issues that characterize cryonics were discussed in a
contribution about the emergence of local cryonics. Last, but not least, Mike Darwin contributed a series of articles on new developments in cardiopulmonary resuscitation and its relevance to cryonics.
The fate of cryonics is inevitably
bound to the fate of science in general. To distinguish scientific
reasoning from mere speculation, wishful thinking, and excessive
rationalism, it is important to encourage a culture in which logical
reasoning and empirical research are recognized as important tools for
understanding the world around us. This vision was clearly expressed by
logical empiricist thinkers like Rudolf Carnap and Hans Reichenbach during the first half of the 20th century. Five classics of empiricist philosophy
were featured on Depressed Metabolism to introduce readers to the
enduring relevance of empiricism an an outlook on science and life. A
passage in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s seminal book Fooled by Randomness was used as a starting point for a critical note on the critical rationalist philosopher Karl Popper.
One of the major obstacles to adopting a scientific conception of the world
is the wide-held view that sciences that are based on physics (such as
chemistry and biology) have little to offer to the study of society or
public policy. As a consequence, many debates on these topics are as
enlightening as medieval scholasticism. Recent advances in
neuroscience and genetics provide strong support for the thesis of the
Unity of Science, a theme that will be explored in more detail on this website in the future.
As mentioned in our First Anniversary post,
running a blog is less expensive than publishing a paper magazine but
not costless (e.g., website hosting, domain registration, reproduction
of papers and book chapters, etc). The work we have done for the blog
has been very rewarding but often very labor-intensive and time
consuming. Please help us
keep the blog running and click on the “donate” button on the right
sidebar (below) to give a Paypal donation or purchase books featured on
this website through the links to Amazon. Thanks for your support!
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(Crossposted from Depressed Metabolism)
Real estate is all about location, location, location. Location matters in cryonics as well.
The objective of standby and stabilization in cryonics
is to limit injury to the brain after pronouncement of legal death.
Unfortunately, many cryonics patients have not been stabilized promptly
after pronouncement of legal death because the cryonics organization
did a poor job of tracking the health condition of its members, was not
made aware of the pending death of a member, or the case was one of
rapid decline or sudden death. In other cases, the cryonics
organization was aware of the critical condition of the patient but was
faced with the challenge of providing services in a geographical area
where few other cryonics advocates live. This creates a non-trivial
challenge because premature deployment of a standby team can expose the cryonics organization to a prolonged standby in which resources are “wasted” but delayed deployment
can arrive too late for the patient to receive meaningful stabilization
procedures. Even in cases where a cryonics standby team is able to
intervene promptly after cardiac arrest, the distance between the
location of stabilization procedures and the cryonics facility in
combination with the legal and logistical challenges of transporting a
patient across state lines produces harmful periods of cold ischemia.
Some members who have recognized these
challenges have decided to relocate to the state, or even the city, of
their cryonics organization. As a general rule, these decisions are
made when the member in question has retired or recognizes a high
probability that the cryonics organization’s services are needed in the
near future. As a consequence, the Phoenix/Scottsdale area has a larger
proportion of (retired) people with cryonics arrangements than could be
expected based on location alone. So far this phenomenon has not
really caught on with Cryonics Institute (CI) members, although the
desire of relocating to Michigan is a recurrent topic in discussions
among CI members. In a sense, the issue is even more important for CI
members because the organization itself does not offer standby and
stabilization services. Unless a person has made arrangements with
another organization for such services, CI members should expect
non-trivial periods of warm and cold ischemia, producing brain injury
and perfusion impairment during cryoprotectant perfusion (if perfusion
is possible at all) as a consequence.
A useful medical analogy for this
situation is to picture the fate of a critically ill person in a state
with limited medical emergency services, who, after a 911 call, needs
to be flown thousands of miles across state lines to a medical facility
without the possibility of treatment during transport. It should not be
surprising, then, that some people who have recognized this problem
advocate that cryonics organizations should be local in
nature. Not only in the sense of building a strong local community and
emergency response system, but also by strictly confining itself to
members in that area. A technical criterion to determine the area of
coverage for such a cryonics organization is that the service area of
the cryonics organization should not exceed the distance that, in
principle, permits stabilization of a patient without loss of neurological viability of the brain by contemporary criteria.
The vision of a cryonics organization
that confines itself to a specifically defined geographical area (a
state or a few neighboring states) raises many practical questions but
the most important question concerns its financial feasibility. Can a
cryonics organization that confines itself to one state support itself
and its operations? On the one hand, one is inclined to answer this
question in the negative because the absolute number of people
interested in cryonics is so small that even cryonics organizations
that accept members from all parts of the world remain dependent on
(large) donations and bequests to sustain their operations. On the
other hand, a cryonics organization that operates in a strong local
community of life extensionists can draw upon the enthusiasm of its
members, the resources available to them, and focused regional outreach
efforts.
Location is also important to cryonics
because it can make or break the prospects of a viable cryonics
organization. One major problem facing cryonics today is that the
locations of the two major cryonics organizations (Alcor and the Cryonics Institute)
offer little appeal to (young) people who could make a contribution to
the science and practice of cryonics. This is not just conjecture.
Alcor has great problems in attracting talent to Arizona (as evidenced
by the ongoing saga of finding a suitable CEO).
People who turned down offers to become more involved with Alcor (or
those who left) have mentioned location as the most important reason.
The situation is even worse because a number of people who are
involved with Alcor in Arizona are known to dislike the location and
have indicated their desire to move on in the future. Suffice it to say
that such a situation limits the prospects of recruiting skilled people
with long-term commitments to the organization.
The first thing that should be done is to recognize
the problem and take it seriously. After this happens, efforts can be
made to stimulate areas of vibrant cryonics activity with the objective
of drawing more people to them. One development that is striking is
that locations with a strong “cosmopolitan” identity such as New York and the Bay Area
have no or little serious cryonics activity going on any longer. This
is particularly painful in light of the fact that these areas have been
historical hotbeds of cryonics activity. Good and dependable cryonics
capabilities cannot be created overnight but there are no obstacles for
creating local organizations with a strong emphasis on education and
local response capabilities.
Another important reason for creating
strong local cryonics and life extension communities is to reduce the
vulnerability to political and legal events that threaten the operation
of a cryonics organization. The importance of diversifying risk, and
the limited ability for cryonics organizations in the US to deliver
good stabilization services in Europe, is one of the major reasons why
European cryonicists should be encouraged to create their own cryonics
facility, complemented by basic standby and stabilization capabilities
in other countries.
In the United States the author has
been involved in stimulating vibrant cryonics activity in Portland,
Oregon which so far has culminated in the rejuvenation of local cryonics meetings,
a viable research program, and the formation of a non-profit
organization to educate the general public about the benefits of
cryonics. Other plans that are currently being pursued by other people
in the region include the fabrication and acquisition of stabilization equipment
and even preparations for the formation of a viable cryonics
organization. It is hoped that these developments will motivate more
people to move to Oregon or stimulate people in other parts of the
country to engage in similar activities.
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(Crossposted from Depressed Metabolism)
The 2008-3 issue of Alcor’s Cryonics Magazine
contains a number of articles about the pitfalls of (excessive)
scientific optimism and its potential adverse effects on the
organizational and practical aspects of cryonics. My own contribution
contrasts cryonics as medical conservatism with the kind of scientific
meliorism that is often associated with movements such as transhumanism and singularitarianism.
In particular, I express reservations about the arguments that intend
to show that reversible cryopreservation and resuscitation of cryonics
patients is inevitable because the required technological advances do
not contradict our current understanding of the laws of physics.
Instead of relying on abstract “rationalist” arguments I propose to
focus more strongly on generating and disseminating empirical evidence
that people who are engaged in science and medicine today will find persuasive, especially as it pertains to revising our contemporary definitions of death.
The same issue also contains an
important contribution by Glen Donovan about the relationship between
science and cryonics. Is cryonics a science? If it is not a science,
what is it? This piece discusses cryonics from the perspective of the philosophy of science.
This is an approach that has received little attention to date but it
seems to me that the status of cryonics and its associated research
programs can benefit from discussing cryonics utilizing the tools and
concepts of analytic philosophy. In particular, one project that could
constitute an important contribution would be to give specific
empirical meaning to a concept like information-theoretic death.
Aschwin de Wolf – Scientific Optimism and Progress in Cryonics (2009)
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(Crossposted from Depressed Metabolism)
According to this news item the Alcor Life Extension Foundation
is taking legal action against the brother and sister of an Alcor
member who “denied the foundation’s request for his body and didn’t
notify them of their brother’s death until months after he was buried.”
Although some may question the wisdom of pursuing this case in light of
the current condition of this Alcor member, Alcor is honoring its
contract with the member. As Reason points out in this excellent post about the issue:
I can only imagine that the lawsuit is
being undertaken as a point of principle and for the purposes of
education: don’t break contracts with Alcor or this will
happen….Switching around a family member’s post-mortem arrangements is
little different from bullying and controlling folk who are too old and
frail to defend themselves. In the case of acting to prevent
cryopreservation that was organized and chosen by the deceased, it
becomes something like fractional murder: removing that person’s shot
at whatever the unknown probability of future revival happens to be.
Spouses and relatives of an Alcor
member should not feel confident that if they hide the death of an
Alcor member long enough to make cryopreservation no longer meaningful
or practical that the cryonics organization will just give up and
refrain from pursuing the case. There have been too many cases where hostile, greedy, or indifferent relatives
have frustrated the wishes of a person who wants to be cryopreserved.
Cryonics organizations should not even give the semblance that this is
something they let people get away with. Alcor is to be commended for
fighting back and honoring this member’s wishes, even in the most
miserable of circumstances.
This episode should be another
important wake-up call for potential and existing members of cryonics
organizations. There are various ways situations such as these can be
minimized and we should start thinking about them. Most of all,
cryonics members should execute living wills that rule out scenarios
where greedy relatives will benefit from the patient not being
cryopreserved. Furthermore, cryonics members should execute a Durable
Power of Attorney for Health Care to ensure that the person who is
authorized to make medical decisions on the cryonics member’s behalf
has a strong commitment to honoring this person’s wish to be
cryopreserved. This often will require giving this authority not to the
person who is closest to you but to the person who is most
knowledgeable and respectful of your cryonics arrangements (such as a
long time friend with cryonics arrangements). Last, but not least,
cryonics organizations should further expand their methods of
determining high risk cases and improve communication with existing
members. Although it is not possible, nor reasonable, to expect from
cryonics organizations that they can avoid scenarios such as these in
every single case, there is an urgent need to beef up membership
tracking and response capabilities.
Cryonics organizations are in a
delicate situation. We expect them to fight for each of their members
without putting existing patients at risk. One solution that has been pursued in the past,
and may have to be revived again, is to separate the service delivery
aspect of cryonics from long term patient care. If such changes would
allow more aggressive action on behalf of existing members with no, or
decreased, risk for existing patients, such changes should be pursued.
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(Crossposted from Depressed Metabolism) Hans Reichenbach’s The Rise of Scientific Philosophy is among the most accessible and illuminating statements of logical empiricism.
Although the book can be read as an introduction to philosophy, the
central message of the work is that most of what constitutes philosophy
is either (outdated) pre-scientific speculation or incoherent reasoning.
One of the most powerful chapters in
the book is about evolution. Reichenbach starts by contrasting the
inorganic world, which obeys the laws of physics, with the organic
world, which is goal directed. But then he goes on to show that the
semblance of design and purpose can be accounted for by an evolutionary
explanation, and that all biological phenomena can be reduced to
physical phenomena. We do not need two separate sciences to account for
non-living and living phenomena and can have a unified science about
matter. Anticipating synthetic biology, Reichenbach suggests that
future science should be able to create life through purposeful
manipulation of inorganic matter. Then Reichenbach moves from the
evolution of the microworld to the evolution of the universe and
reviews how contemporary findings in physics and astronomy affect
questions about the past and the future of the universe.
Throughout his discussion of the relationship of science and philosophy, Reichenbach presents a number of distinct logical positivist positions:
It has become a favorite argument of
antiscientific philosophies that explanation must stop somewhere, that
there remain unanswerable questions. But the questions so referred to
are constructed by a misuse of words. Words meaningful in one
combination may be meaningless in another. Could there be a father who
never had a child? Everyone would ridicule a philosopher who regarded
this question as a serious problem. The question of the cause of the
first event, or of the cause of the universe as a whole, is not of a
better type. The word “cause” denotes a relation between two things and
is inapplicable if only one thing is concerned. The universe as a whole
has no cause, since, by definition, there is no thing outside of it
that could be its cause. Questions of this type are empty verbalisms
rather than philosophical arguments.
At the end of the chapter, Reichenbach
criticizes the widespread view that there are other means of
establishing knowledge which can answer questions that science cannot:
The elimination of meaningless
questions from philosophy is difficult because there exists a certain
type of mentality that aspires to find unanswerable questions. The
desire to prove that science is of a limited power, that its ultimate
foundations depend on faith rather than on knowledge, is explainable in
terms of psychology and education, but finds no support in logic. There
are scientists who are proud of when their lectures on evolution
conclude with a so-called proof that there remain questions
unanswerable for the scientist. The testimony of such men is often
invoked as evidence for the insufficiency of a scientific philosophy.
Yet it proves merely that scientific training does not always equip the
scientist with a backbone to withstand the appeal of a philosophy that
calls for submission to faith. He who searches for truth must not
appease his urge by giving himself up to the narcotic of belief.
Science is its own master and recognizes no authority beyond its
confines.
This passage raises the important
question of whether the position of logical empiricism is
self-applicable. The same issue has been encountered by critical
rationalists. One “solution” to this challenge is to make critical
rationalism coherent by holding all positions open to criticism,
including critical rationalism itself. This approach, called
“pancritical rationalism” or “comprehensive critical rationalism,” has
been proposed by the philosopher William Warren Bartley in his book The Retreat to Commitment. Bartley’s solution has been criticized for producing logical paradoxes and its vacuous nature.
Logical positivism thus found itself in
the peculiar situation of struggling with its own internal consistency
while at the same time seeing many of its basic tenets reflected in
contemporary scientific practice.
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(Crossposted from Depressed Metabolism) Cryonics patients can greatly benefit from rapid stabilization
after pronouncement of legal death. One fortunate feature of
stabilization procedures is that the most effective and validated
procedures are relatively inexpensive and easy to perform. The
difference between no stabilization procedures at all and procedures
that aim to rapidly restore blood circulation and drop the patient’s
temperature is likely to be bigger than that between such basic
stabilization and procedures that include administration of a large
number of medications and remote blood washout. This observation gains
even more importance when it is considered that there is a serious lack
of empirical data to support these more advanced procedures.
To date, no single neuroprotective
agent has been approved for the treatment of global or focal ischemia.
Despite this fact, cryonics organizations like Alcor and Suspended
Animation administer an unorthodox number of medications
to protect the brain and prevent impairment of circulation. While there
are peer reviewed papers that combine a number of medications, there is
no precedent in mainstream medicine or biomedical research in using
such a large number of medications (in contemporary cryonics,
medications protocol exceeds 12 different drugs and fluids). The only
existing justification for using current protocol reflects work done at Critical Care Research in the 1990s. Although scattered reports
exist about the effectiveness of this protocol in resuscitating dogs
from up to 17 minutes of normothermic global ischemia, no detailed
(peer reviewed) paper has been published about these experiments.
Another concern involves the extrapolation of these findings to
cryonics. It would go beyond the general nature of this piece to
document all the differences between these controlled experiments and
cryonics as practiced in the real world, but suffice it to say that the
factors of shorter and longer delays, longer drug administration
times, suboptimal “post-ischemia” circulation, and induction of
hypothermia introduce many unknowns about the efficacy of these drugs
for cryonics patients. In the case of some medications, like
streptokinase, heparin, and dextran 40, a case could be made that the
potential benefits outweigh the unknowns, but should this argument be
extended to all medications?
Even more complexity is introduced when
cryonics organizations make an attempt to wash out the blood and
substitute it with a universal organ preservation solution. The
rationale for this procedure is found in conventional organ
preservation and emergency medicine research. The question in organ
preservation research is no longer whether hypothermic organs benefit
from blood substitution with a synthetic solution, but what the ideal
composition of such a solution should be. In emergency medicine
research asanguineous hypothermic circulatory arrest is increasingly
being investigated to stabilize trauma victims.
But it is a major step from these developments to the practice of
remote blood washout of ischemic patients with expected transport times
of 24 hours or more. At present the only sure benefit of remote blood washout
is that it enables more rapid cooling of the patient, a benefit that
should not be underestimated. But when liquid ventilation becomes
available to cryonics patients, rapid cooling rates will be possible
without extracorporeal circulation.
The lack of relevant published data to
support the administration of large numbers of drugs and remote blood
washout in cryonics is not just a matter of risking performing
redundant procedures. A lot of time and resources are being spent in
cryonics on obtaining and maintaining equipment and supplies for these
procedures, in addition to the licensing fees paid to use some of these
technologies and the training and recruiting of people to perform them.
But perhaps the most troublesome problem is that the preparation and
execution of these procedures during actual cryonics cases can
seriously interfere with rapid and effective cardiopulmonary support
and induction of hypothermia.
There is an urgent need to move from
extrapolation based cryonics to evidence based cryonics. This will
require a comprehensive research program aimed at creating realistic
cryonics research models. It will also require vast improvements in the
monitoring and evaluation of cryonics cases. The current debate should
no longer be between advocates and opponents of standby and
stabilization but about what stabilization procedures should be used by
cryonics organizations given our current knowledge.
Viewing cryonics as an experimental
medical procedure does not necessarily commit one to the position that
substantial amounts of money and resources should be allocated to
recruiting medical professionals and expensive equipment. The most
common sense implication of the views outlined above is that the most
effective measures to improve the care of cryonics patients are
encouraging members to relocate to the area of their cryonics
organization, improved health tracking of existing members, and
cryonics training aimed at teaching the basic procedures and techniques
that confer real evidence based benefits.
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(Crossposted from Depressed Metabolism) Under ideal circumstances cryonics
patients are stabilized immediately after pronouncement of legal death
by restoring blood flow to the brain, lowering temperature, and
administering medications. In most cryonics cases, however, there is a
delay between pronouncement of legal death and start of cryonics
procedures. In some cases there are no stabilization interventions at
all. Provided that these periods of warm and cold ischemia are not too
long, such patients can still be perfused with a vitrification agent.
But how thorough cryoprotectant perfusion (and thus vitrification) in these cases can be remains an unresolved issue.
Since the late 1960s a number of
studies have been published that document that cerebral blood flow
cannot be completely restored after prolonged periods of cerebral
ischemia. Brains that have been perfused with black ink after
increasing periods of ischemia have shown progressive development of
no-reflow areas in the brain (as evidenced by the absence of ink). In
2002 Liu et al.
used a technique that allows direct visualization of trapped
erythrocytes by treating fixed brain tissue with sodium borohydride
(NaBH4), which renders trapped erythrocytes fluorescent. In a rat model
of focal ischemia the authors found that a significant
fraction of the capillary bed (10% to 15%) in the penumbra (the area
surrounding the ischemic core) is blocked by trapped erythrocytes, even
after 2 hours of reperfusion.
The authors discuss a number of clinically relevant issues. They propose that the lower density of trapped erythrocytes in the ischemic core
of the brain reflects hypoxia-induced lysis (which releases cytoxic
hemoglobin). They further speculate that the older ink methods may have
underestimated the degree of no-reflow because areas that are
not accessible to red blood cells may still be accessible to other
molecules. This presents an opportunity to deliver oxygen to the brain
by using small oxygen carrying molecules such as perfluorocarbons.
The authors did not investigate variations in perfusion pressure or the
efficacy of volume expanders to restore no-flow areas to circulation.
A focal ischemia model is not a good
model for cryonics and one can only speculate what the effects of
various periods of complete ischemia would be on cerebral blood flow
and erythrocyte trapping. Older studies on ischemia and perfusion impairment,
however, indicate that periods of 30 minutes of complete ischemia can
produce substantial areas of no-flow in the brain. Unless these areas
are opened to circulation during either stabilization or cryoprotectant
perfusion, straight freezing of pockets of the brain is a
real possibility. It remains to be investigated if areas that are
obstructed by trapped red blood cells are accessible to cryoprotectant
agents and how much of these areas can be opened by a combination of
hemodilution and non-penetrating perfusate components (through
dehydration). Although cryopreservation of ischemic brains is the norm
in cryonics, our knowledge about the effects of ischemia on
vitrification of the brain remains limited.
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(Crossposted from Depressed Metabolism) Following the news that mice have been cloned from 16 year old frozen tissue comes an announcement that scientists have made advances in resurrecting the extinct Pyrenean Ibex.
This does not only offer hope that someday other extinct species may be
resurrected and returned to nature, it further reinforces the power of
low temperatures to preserve life and biological information. DNA can
be extracted from tissue that is preserved with crude freezing
techniques, including cryopreservation with no cryoprotection at all
(straight freezing).
Successful resuscitation of cryonics
patients requires reversal of the aging process (for most patients)
and advanced molecular cell repair technologies. Such demanding
requirements are not necessary to clone a cryonics patient.
Although the objective of cryonics organizations is not to resurrect a
clone of the person but that particular individual, the recent success
stories about cloning animals from frozen tissue highlight that the
debate about the feasibility of cryonics should not be so much about
“revival” but personal survival. Biological revival should not present major obstacles.
People usually do not make cryonics
arrangements to allow a the creation of a genetic copy of themselves in
the future. One use of human DNA storage is to assist with the
identification of remains of cryonics patients that have died under
circumstances where such identification will be difficult (for example,
the cryonics organization only receives a brain). DNA preservation is
also an option for people who would like to have a closely similar pet
in the future. Futuristic possibilities such as combination of human
cloning and mind uploading to recreate the person come to mind as well.
The Cryonics Institute offers human and pet DNA preservation for members with and without funding arrangements.
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(Crossposted from Depressed Metabolism) The cryonics organizations Alcor and the Cryonics Institute have taken great care to correct some of the persistent myths
about cryonics. With so much widespread misinformation being circulated
in the media it seems trivial to pay attention to some of the
misconceptions that some people who are sympathetic to
cryonics hold. But the price of ignoring these opinions is that
progress in the science of cryobiology and practice of human
cryopreservation is adversely affected. What follows is a list of 5
“dangerous” ideas (or misconceptions) about cryonics and their
consequences.
1. First in, last out.
A popular expression in cryonics is
that the first person who was cryopreserved will require the most
extensive repair technologies and therefore will be the last person to
be resuscitated. The underlying assumption in this view is quite
reasonable: when advances in cryopreservation technologies are made,
demands on advanced future repair technologies will be lessened. The
problem with this view, however, is that it assumes that advances in
cryobiology and neuroprotection are the only factor
influencing the quality of care in cryonics. Unfortunately, advances in
the science of cryopreservation will not automatically translate into
better patient care. Other factors, such as the delay between time of
“death” and start of procedures, and the protocols, equipment and
personnel of the responding cryonics organizations, matter as well. For
example, if a cryonics standby team is not able to get to a patient
before 24 hours after cardiac arrest, pumps him full of air during
remote blood washout, and ships him back to the cryonics organization
at subzero temperatures, that patient will not benefit from advances in
human cryopreservation such as rapid induction of hypothermia,
neuroprotection and vitrification.
A professional cryonics organization
with “old” technologies may on average do better than an incompetent
cryonics organization with “new” technologies. The important lesson to
be drawn here is that the concept of “patient care” is a meaningful
concept in cryonics and consumers of cryonics services need to
evaluate their cryonics providers on their ability to provide good care.
2. Only the future will tell us how good our cryonics procedures are.
It is true that only the future will tell us whether cryonics patients will be resuscitated or not; but that does not mean that we cannot say anything meaningful about the quality of care in individual
cryonics cases. The most obvious point is that we can compare actual
patient care to the published protocols and objectives of the cryonics
organization. More specific observations can be made during a
cryonics case using medical equipment. In a well-run cryonics case a
number of physiological and chemical measurements are made to determine
the response of a patient to various interventions. As a general rule,
the objective of cryonics stabilization procedures is to keep the brain of the patient viable
by contemporary medical criteria. The danger of thinking of cryonics as
one single experimental procedure that can only be evaluated in the
future is that it ignores the fact that actual cryonics procedures
consist of various separate procedures that can be monitored and
evaluated using existing medical tools. The least that a cryonics
consumer should expect from his cryonics organization is that it
discloses its cryonics procedures to the general public and produces
detailed case reports.
3. Cryonics patients are no longer being frozen.
Because not all cryonics patients will
be “ideal” cases, this view is vulnerable to the same objections as the
“first in, last out” rule, but there are some other issues that are
important to mention in this context. The most important fact to be
stressed is that ice formation is not a binary all or nothing thing but
a continuum ranging from straight freezing (cryopreservation without
cryoprotection) to complete elimination of ice formation. Although
there have been many cases where patients have been frozen without the
use of a cryoprotective agent, its opposite, complete vitrification,
should be considered a theoretical ideal. The degree of ice formation
is determined by the nature and concentration of the cryoprotective
agent. For example, low concentrations of the cryoprotectant glycerol
will result in more ice formation than higher concentrations of
glycerol.
What has changed in the recent years is
that both major cryonics organizations are now offering
cryopreservation using vitrification agents. Although these
vitrification agents are formulated to eliminate ice formation, it is
generally believed that such a result is not achievable in all tissues
and organs in the human body at the moment. Another important point to
be made is that not all solutions that can eliminate ice formation are
equal because they can differ greatly in toxicity. The technical
challenge in cryonics is not so much to eliminate ice formation but to
develop vitrification solutions with no or limited toxicity. Although
it is correct that contemporary vitrification solutions can solidify
without ice formation, delays in response time, poor patient care, and
high toxicity can offset most of these advances.
4. The probability that cryonics will work is X.
Both critics and supporters have made
specific probability estimates about how likely cryonics is to work. In
its worst form such probability assessments convey nothing more than
putting a number on overall feelings of pessimism or optimism. More
serious attempts have been made to calculate a specific probability
that cryonics will work. Such attempts usually go as follows: A number
of independent conditions (or events) for cryonics to work are
distinguished, these conditions are “assigned” a probability, and the
total (or joint) probability is calculated by multiplying them.
Although such calculations give the semblance of objectivity, they are
equally vulnerable to the fundamental objection that assigning one
single number to the probability that cryonics will work is just a lot
of hand waving. How many independent events are there and how do we
know that they are independent? What is the basis for assigning
specific probabilities to these conditions? What are the effects of
minor changes in the numbers?
Probability calculations are not
completely useless. They can help us in identifying important
conditions that need to be satisfied for resuscitation. They can also
help identify weak links that can be improved. But probability
estimates can be dangerous as well when we take them too seriously and
discourage people from making cryonics arrangements. The point here is
not that we should refrain from being skeptical but that if we make
quantitative estimates we should be able to back up our statements with
rigorous arguments or just confine ourselves to more qualitative
statements. Another objection to making cryonics probability estimates
was made by the cryonics activist and mathematician Thomas Donaldson. He makes the common sense point that many of these conditions are not independent of what we do. We can make a contribution to increasing the probability that cryonics will work.
Last but not least, what does it mean
when we talk about “cryonics working?” It is conceivable that cryonics
will work for one person but not for another, reflecting improved
technologies and protocols. Perhaps asking the question if cryonics
patients can be “revived” is the wrong question. As the cryobiologist Brian Wowk
has pointed out, the real question is how much original personality
would survive the many possible damage/repair scenarios, not revival
per se. Survival in medicine is not a simple black-and-white issue, as
evidenced by people who recover from stroke or cardiac arrest but with
personality and memory alterations. And it is worth mentioning once
more that how much of our personality survives is depended on what we
do to improve the quality and long-term survival of our cryonics
organizations.
5. I will sign up for cryonics when I need it.
It should be obvious without much reflection why this is a dangerous idea. At the time a person really needs cryonics, he may no longer be able to communicate those desires, lack funding to make arrangements, or encounter hostile relatives.
A more subtle variant concerns the person who expects that aging will
be solved before cryonics will be necessary. This person may or may not
be right, but such optimism may not make him more immune to accidents
than other people. This mindset is often observed among young
“transhumanists” and practicing life extensionists. A related, but
rarer, variant is to postpone making cryonics arrangements until the
cryonics organization makes a number of changes including, but not
limited to, hiring medical professionals, stop wasting money, becoming
more transparent, giving members the right to vote, etc. Such issues
are important, and need to be addressed, but a safer response would be
to join the organization and influence its policies, or, if this will
be necessary, combine with others to start a competing cryonics
organization without such flaws.
There are not many people who think
that it is sensible to make cryonics arrangements, but there are even
fewer people who have actually made such arrangements.
As we have seen, some of these
dangerous ideas share the same or related assumptions and produce
identical effects: decreased scrutiny of cryonics organizations and a
decreased chance of personal survival. An important common theme is
that cryonics cannot be treated as one single monolithic technology and
that the fate of our survival depends as much on the state of the art
in human cryopreservation technologies as on the competence of cryonics
providers. Caveat emptor!
-
(Crossposted from Depressed Metabolism)
Robert J. White
is most known, or perhaps most notorious, for his work on primate head
transplants. Less known, but more relevant to the practice of human cryopreservation,
is his work in cerebral ischemia, hypothermia, and brain preservation.
Most of White's innovative work was published in the 1960s and 1970s.
White also published a substantial number of opinion pieces on a
variety of topics. One of these topics is brain death.
In an 1972 editorial for the publication Hospital Progress, "The Scientific Limitation of Brain Death," White notes that:
...we
have to acknowledge the probability that eventually all of the major
cellular complexes of the human body will be replaceable either by
transplanted organs (man or animal) or by sophisticated engineering
modules.
As a
consequence, the clinical definition of death is shifting from
cardiopulmonary criteria to the central nervous system. But unlike
other organs,
...this
system is not replicatable, representing as it does the repository of
the highest functions of man...when this elite cellular system fails it
would seem reasonable to assume that what is characteristically 'human'
is also being lost from the body.
But
just as the cardio-respiratory definition of death has evolved and
changed with the clinical practice of cardiopulmonary resuscitation, a
similar fate may be in store for the definition of brain death. The
clinical use of general anesthesia and hypothermic circulatory arrest,
in which the brain can be put "on pause," emphasize how important the
aspect of "irreversibility" is.
As presently defined, the definition of brain death puts much emphasis on brain function
upon physical examination. A major limitation of this definition is
that it categorically ignores the prospect that brain function could be
restored in the future by technologies more advanced than practiced
today, provided the material basis of brain function is preserved.
Another
challenge is that the science of cryobiology has advanced to such a
state where brain slices can be preserved at subzero temperatures and
recovered without loss of viability through vitrification.
When recovery of organized electrical activity can be demonstrated in
vitrified mammalian whole brains, the prevailing definition of brain
death will need to be challenged again because it will open the
practical possibility to maintain critically ill people in a state of
low temperature circulatory arrest without producing one of the
indicators of irreversible brain death. Such advances would be an
extension of the experiments Robert White did on isolated hypothermic
brains.
As White stresses in the final paragraph of his paper:
...like
all biological activity, life and death merge into one another
representing a continuum and the neuro-scientist can only in the final
analysis determine the point of irreversibility of this highly complex
system at which the possibility of organized activity that
characterizes human behaviour has been exceeded.
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