reposted from
advancednano A pdf by Nick Bostrom and Anders Sandberg that surveys the state of cognitive enhancement in 2006
Nick Bostrom's websiteThe paper reviews ways to
train ourselves to be more intelligent/expert,
drugs for enhancement /nootropic drugs,
genetic modification, enhancing devices like computers, and
brain /computer interfaces.I think collaboration and collective productivity as in corporations has been somewhat discounted but communication and tool advancement could also make interesting breakthroughs in that area.
An older paper by nick Bostrom talks about the basic computational power needed for human level intelligence. Our most power supercomputers are in the middle of that estimated range. AI software lags. Access to the supercomputers for this purpose was lagging but there is the brain institute project .
Fairly large scale brain simulation projects have begun. 10,000 neurons were simulated.
However, the project is not for artificial intelligence but to study brain structure The Brain Institute at the Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL) in Zurich, researchers have built neocortical columns using supercomputing systems from SGI and IBM. They have a IBM Blue gene/L supercomputer with a peak speed of at least 22.8 Teraflops using 8000 processors.
They think it will 10-15 years for the hardware to advance to a full brain simulation using their approach If Ovonic cognitive control devices are successfully developed this could happen sooner as they are more neuron like. Also, the use of GPUs and other hardware enhancements could accelerate hardware advancementRed Herring discusses
other cognitive computing projects that are started or being discussed The biggest being discussed is the Decade of the mind project. James Albus, senior fellow at the U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology, says the NIST plans a project dubbed Decade Of The Mind, which calls for handing out up to $4 billion in funding to companies or universities doing research in mind-based computing.
Artificial Development is building CCortex, an simulation of the Human Cortex and peripheral systems, running on a computer cluster. They do not seem well funded enough to meet their ambitious goals.
There is also Steve Chen's Third brain project to create a biosupercomputerIf we project forward 10 years. A strong possibility is that we could have far better understanding of the human brain and systems that are 10,000 times more powerful and various means to enhance human intelligence by 2 to 100 times without triggering a real
superintelligence that is not "strong superintelligence. I foresee "weak superintelligence", which is human intelligence at high speed could provide an evolving pathway to strong superintelligence. It could be a safer path. Many could have access to "weak superintelligence" in the form of tighter coupling to advance computers and nootropic and genetic enhancement.
Some in the singularity AI world have indicated that darwinian dynamics would not apply I think the software end is lagging and we will get "weak superintelligence" first and for an extended period.
More reading:
Michael Anissimov on friendly AIMichael Anissimov tracking AGI projects and work