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State of Cognitive Enhancement

reposted from advancednano

A pdf by Nick Bostrom and Anders Sandberg that surveys the state of cognitive enhancement in 2006

Nick Bostrom's website

The paper reviews ways to train ourselves to be more intelligent/expert, drugs for enhancement /nootropic drugs, genetic modification, enhancing devices like computers, and brain /computer interfaces.

I think collaboration and collective productivity as in corporations has been somewhat discounted but communication and tool advancement could also make interesting breakthroughs in that area.

An older paper by nick Bostrom talks about the basic computational power needed for human level intelligence. Our most power supercomputers are in the middle of that estimated range. AI software lags. Access to the supercomputers for this purpose was lagging but there is the brain institute project .

Fairly large scale brain simulation projects have begun. 10,000 neurons were simulated. However, the project is not for artificial intelligence but to study brain structure The Brain Institute at the Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL) in Zurich, researchers have built neocortical columns using supercomputing systems from SGI and IBM. They have a IBM Blue gene/L supercomputer with a peak speed of at least 22.8 Teraflops using 8000 processors. They think it will 10-15 years for the hardware to advance to a full brain simulation using their approach If Ovonic cognitive control devices are successfully developed this could happen sooner as they are more neuron like. Also, the use of GPUs and other hardware enhancements could accelerate hardware advancement

Red Herring discusses other cognitive computing projects that are started or being discussed The biggest being discussed is the Decade of the mind project. James Albus, senior fellow at the U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology, says the NIST plans a project dubbed Decade Of The Mind, which calls for handing out up to $4 billion in funding to companies or universities doing research in mind-based computing.

Artificial Development is building CCortex, an simulation of the Human Cortex and peripheral systems, running on a computer cluster. They do not seem well funded enough to meet their ambitious goals.

There is also Steve Chen's Third brain project to create a biosupercomputer

If we project forward 10 years. A strong possibility is that we could have far better understanding of the human brain and systems that are 10,000 times more powerful and various means to enhance human intelligence by 2 to 100 times without triggering a real superintelligence that is not "strong superintelligence. I foresee "weak superintelligence", which is human intelligence at high speed could provide an evolving pathway to strong superintelligence. It could be a safer path. Many could have access to "weak superintelligence" in the form of tighter coupling to advance computers and nootropic and genetic enhancement. Some in the singularity AI world have indicated that darwinian dynamics would not apply I think the software end is lagging and we will get "weak superintelligence" first and for an extended period.

More reading:
Michael Anissimov on friendly AI

Michael Anissimov tracking AGI projects and work

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Sgaileach1 wrote on December 20, 2006 10:21 AM

Intriguing.  However, do you think it wise to allow the needs of any modern template corporate structure, with its emphasis on "team building" compromise to individual liberty through "resource management" and assimilation in pursuit of profit over integrity, to influence the development of foundation superintelligence technologies, a field that will clearly shake the very foundations of conscious identity for centuries to come?

I believe that all such technology must be targeted and developed first and foremost with the individual in mind, and tailored to the needs and expectations of that paradigm.  This includes in-built protections against the sort of unnatural and invasive expectations and violations of personal privacy and property rights that corporations are most interested in usurping for the "greater good" of their upper 2%, as it is with the entire world economy today.

Do not barter trust in exchange for funding, as often getting their faster can compromise or obliterate entirely any hope of truly getting "there" as we would see it at all.

 

Afn wrote on December 20, 2006 11:13 AM

AI and AGI is a software problem. I think low-level forms of super-intelligence will be possible once we as humans figure out how to program the software to create machines that can solve specific problems using general intelligence, deploy the solution to other machines and feedback loops to optimize the process.

 

advancednano wrote on December 20, 2006 11:39 AM

I do not think it is a matter of "allowing" pursuit of profit to influence the foundations. That is the basis for how our current society works.

There are multiple projects and multiple ways for people and groups to enhance intelligence. Get access to better computers, find nootropic drugs that are effective and safe, look at opportunities for effective genetic modification (gene therapy, RNAi, RNA activation etc...).

Personal privacy loss is a separate issue and I think a lost cause. Imaging technology, audio technology, data mining etc... all working against it.

If the optimization of intelligence is speeding up and the occasional insight into better processes then a broadly advancing wave to strong superintelligence would not have many of the dangers that other foresee. The danger seems to be from one superintelligence that so outclasses all others that it reaches breakthrough after breakthrough so that its lead rapidly increases and becomes untouchable before any others can detect or respond while response would be effective. Leaving all at the mercy of the one superAI.

 

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